- Chapters
- Introduction: What is anticipatory action?
- Anticipatory humanitarian action in the RCRC movement
- Why anticipatory action?
- What is anticipatory action?
- What are the common characteristics of anticipatory action?
- When is anticipatory action implemented?
- Where is anticipatory action implemented?
- How can anticipatory action be delivered and financed?
- How this Manual works
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- Approaches for National Societies to implement anticipatory action
- Introduction
- Early Action Protocols
- Imminent DREF
- Anticipatory action as part of community-based disaster risk reduction
- Auxiliary role and support to the government
- Complementary and evolving pathways
- Moving from awareness to exploration
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- 01. Scope possibilities for anticipatory action
- Step 1: Start exploring anticipatory action
- Step 2: Identify a focal point for anticipatory action
- Step 3: Initial discussions on how to integrate anticipatory action in existing plans and mechanisms
- Step 4: Reflect on suitable anticipatory action approaches in your context
- Step 5: Understand and define the value of a scoping study for your context
- Step 6: Define the support that you need for the study
- Step 7: Design the Study
- Step 8: Select the person or team to conduct the study
- Step 9: Conduct desk review
- Step 10: Collect primary data in-country
- Step 11: Write report
- Step 12: Validate results with stakeholders (National Societies and partners)
- Step 13: Report the results
- Step 14: Decide the next steps
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 02. Engage your stakeholders
- Step 1: Understand why engaging stakeholders is important
- Step 2: Understand whom to engage in your context
- Step 3: Build your message(s)
- Step 4: Engage
- Step 5: Monitor and track your engagement
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 03. Prepare your National Society for anticipatory action
- Step 1: Double-check ownership at leadership level for anticipatory action
- Step 2: Develop a plan to prepare your National Society to engage in anticipatory action
- Step 3: Put together and onboard a team for anticipatory action
- Step 4: Agree on information management system
- Step 5: Sensitize other key staff of the National Society, government focal points and other stakeholders involved
- Step 6: Assess existing capacities, strategies and plans
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 04. Get to know the EAP criteria and the management process
- Step 1: Reach out to IFRC delegation
- Step 2: Familiarize yourself with s/EAP templates and eligibility criteria
- Step 3: Submit and validate the s/EAP
- Step 4: Get IFRC approval and sign legal agreements
- Step 5: Managing the s/EAP
- Step 6: Activate the s/EAP
- Step 7: Monitor, evaluate and learn from the activation
- Step 8: Revalidate your s/EAP
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 05. Collect risk, early action and impact information
- Step 1: Understand key terms and related questions
- Step 2: Understand how you will use the data
- Step 3: Gather your data
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 06. Determine activation trigger
- Step 1: Select hazard
- Step 2: Understand what needs to go in a trigger
- Intervention map: When do you need it?
- Step 3: Establish coordination mechanism
- Step 4: Define hazard variables to monitor based on impacts and early actions
- Step 5: Compile a menu of forecasts
- Step 6: Set impact threshold
- Step 7: Link impact and hazard magnitude
- Step 8: Define and justify trigger threshold and forecast variable
- Step 9: Define stop mechanism (if applicable)
- Step 10: Develop a trigger statement
- Step 11: Develop a mechanism that defines the intervention area
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 07. Select early actions
- Step 1: Define your team
- Step 2: Develop a data collection plan to do the following
- Step 3: Identify impacts
- Step 4: Prioritize impacts
- Step 5: Review and scope existing early actions
- Step 6: Identify and brainstorm potential early actions
- Step 7: Narrow and prioritize list of early action
- Step 8: Develop theories of change
- Step 9: Test or workshop - Theory of change
- Step 10: Finalize early actions
- Step 11: Develop an activation plan for selected actions and test it
- Step 12: Make rationale explicit your anticipatory action plan
- Final lessons and recommendations
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 07.1. Link Early Actions to Social Protection
- What is Social Protection?
- Why should we link anticipatory action and social protection?
- Why is it relevant to the work of the Red Cross Red Crescent Movement and the humanitarian sector?
- What does the integration of anticipatory action and social protection look like in practice?
- Which social protection instruments can be leveraged for anticipatory action?
- How can National Societies engage in integration of anticipatory action and social protection?
- What should be kept in mind when integrating anticipatory action and social protection?
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 08. Develop activation processes for your anticipatory action plan
- Step 1: Set-up a forecast monitoring and activation processes
- Step 2: Develop a communication protocol
- Step 3: Develop early action implementation process
- Step 4: Develop process for targeting people at risk
- Step 5: Review security guidelines
- Step 6: Document and institutionalize data storage and activation procedures
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 09. Prepare Activation Monitoring, Evaluation, Accountability & Learning
- Introduction
- Step 1: Set up your MEAL team
- Step 2: Understand MEAL requirements in the s/EAP template and assessment criteria
- Step 3: Plan your PDM & CEA
- Step 4 (optional): Plan to go beyond the minimum MEAL requirements
- Step 5.1: Evaluation of the activation process
- Step 5.2: Outcome & Impact Evaluation
- Step 5.3: Trigger review
- Step 6: Setting yourself up for success - lessons from experience
- Step 7: Incorporate findings
- Step 8: Share your evidence
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 10. Design the s/EAP budget
- Introduction
- Step 1: Familiarize yourself with the eligible types of activities in an s/EAP
- Step 2: Download the latest version of the template
- Step 3: Plan the budget and fill the budget template
- Step 4: Double-check what goes where
- Step 5: Double-check that your budget meets all the guidelines
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 11. Prepare for activation: build capacity and test your plan
- Step 1: Map capacities, resources and procedures needed for the implementation of the plan
- Step 2: Review existing assessments on capacities and procedures to identify gaps
- Step 3: Finalize the organizational structure for the implementation
- Step 4: Conduct trainings and develop guidance material
- Step 5: Disseminate the anticipatory action plan
- Step 6: Test your plan through a simulation
- Step 6.1: Understand why and when to use a simulation
- Step 6.2: Decide what kind of simulation you would like to conduct and plan, design and organize the simulation
- Step 6.3 Conduct the simulation
- Step 6.4: Evaluate and share lessons learned
- Step 7: Integrate lessons learned in guidance and trainings
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 12. Submit your s/EAP to IFRC for funding
- Step 1: Submit your s/EAP
- Step 2: Wait for feedback
- Step 3: Respond to and integrate the feedback
- Step 4: Submit the revised s/EAP
- Step 5: Sign the project funding agreement
- Step 6: Access readiness and prepositioning funds
- Step 7: Annual reporting
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- 13. Activate, revise, and resubmit your s/EAP
- Step 1: Activate your s/EAP
- Step 2: Post activation reporting
- Step 3: Revise and resubmit
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- Specific guidance on the Imminent DREF for anticipatory action
- Introduction
- What is an Imminent DREF and when should you request it?
- How can you request an imminent DREF and what does it cover?
- Experience from Jamaica in advance of Hurricane Melissa
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- Specific guidance on anticipatory action in community-based disaster risk reduction
- Introduction
- Step 1: Familiarize yourself with the Roadmap to Community Resilience (R2R)
- Step 2: Conduct an Enhanced Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment (EVCA)
- Step 3: Develop the community resilience plan of action, including AA aspects
- Step 4.1: Develop a community early warning system (CEWS) action plan
- Step 4.2: Integrate the CEWS and AA into new or updated Community Contingency Plans
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- Considerations for non-weather hazards
- Anticipatory action and health
- Anticipatory action and displacement
- Other hazards
- Toolbox
- Quiz
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- Glossary of Terms for Anticipatory Action
- Acting in vain
- Action lifetime
- Anticipatory action
- Cash & voucher assistance
- Climatology
- Contingency planning
- Deterministic weather forecast
- Dialogue Platform
- Drill
- Early Action
- Early Action Protocol (EAP)
- Early Warning Early Action
- Early Warning System
- Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS)
- Epidemic
- Exposure
- Extended-range Weather Forecasting
- Extreme Weather Event
- Impact-based Forecasting
- Feasibility Study (FS)
- False Alarm Ratio (FAR)
- Forecast
- Forecast-based Financing (FbF)
- Forecast Skill
- Hazard
- Hazard-impact curve
- Hazard magnitude
- Historical impact
- Historical forecast data / hindcasts
- Inclusion
- Intervention map
- Impact Level
- Implementation Time
- Lead Time
- Menu of Forecasts
- Meteorological Agency
- National Scale / Flexible Approach
- Preparedness for Effective Response (PER)
- Predictive Analytics (in the humanitarian sector)
- Probabilistic forecast
- Probability Threshold
- Readiness
- Residual Risk
- Return Period
- Shelf life
- Short-range Weather Forecasting
- Simulation
- Social Protection
- Trigger
- Theory of Change
- Verification
- Vulnerability
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- Downloads
- Files by tag
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